【我的总结与翻译】

Who is right in this debate, the energy traders or OPEC?

在这场争论中，谁对呢？能源贸易商？还是OPEC？

They both are, according to Steve Hanke, prefessor of applied economics at Johns (Hop kins) University and a senior fellow at the Washington-based Cato Institute. Hanke says, without a doubt, current demand for oil exceeds supply.

他们都对，约翰霍普金斯大学应用经济学教授兼总部位于华盛顿的卡托研究所高级研究员Steve Hanke是这么认为的。Hanke指出，毫无疑问，目前石油的需求超过了供应。

"We really had s surge in demand, and a lot of this occurred as a result of rapid world growth. World growth has been increasing at a fairly high rate in the last 3 or 4 years. And to some extent (it has been) energy-intensive in use, because we (have) had a faily large increase in the middle class in a lot of these developing countries."

“我们的需求确实非常多，绝大部分都是因为世界迅速的发展。在过去的三、四年里，世界一直以相当快的速度在发展。并且在某种程度上，这种增长在实际情况下是能源集中，因为我们相当大的增加都处于许多发展中国家的中产阶级。”

But other factors contribute as well. Hanke says amid uncertainty and volatility in golbal stock markets, many investors have poured money into commodities such as oil. This trend, combined with investor assumptions that oil prices will remain high, have helped boost prices further, which has in turn fed more investor speculation in the market.

但其他因素也起作用。Hanke指出，在全球股市的不确定和动荡中，许多投资者已在诸如石油这类的商品上投入了大量的资金。这种趋势加上投资者认为油价会持续看高的想当然，为价格的进一步上升推波助澜，从而导致市场上更多的投资者从事投机行为。

Hanke says the weak U.S. dollar (does) not help matters.

Hanke称，疲软的美元对此也毫无帮助。

posted on 2008-04-27 01:25 echo 阅读(15) 评论(0)  编辑  收藏 网摘收藏